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OPINION | Carbon footprints tricky to measure

July 29, 2011

A house surrounded by trees in a cozy Minnesota suburb may seem more environmentally friendly than an apartment in a multi-unit building in Minneapolis for no other reason than its surroundings. When it comes down to it, however, living in Minneapolis or St. Paul can be a whole lot more green, for a number of reasons. One focal point of environmental impact is carbon footprint, and studies on the carbon footprints of urban residents show lower per-capita carbon emissions than the suburbs. As everything in policy, of course, it's a complicated comparison.

Living in a city allows access to many sights and sounds, and that access is frequently multi-modal. Biking, walking, riding transit, and even car sharing are a lot easier in a city. Another assertion from urban advocates is that the high density of cities provides more energy efficiency, and therefore less negative effect on the environment. This leads to the conclusion that a unit in a multi-family apartment complex, for example, is more environmentally friendly than a detached home, for no other reason than density.

One study is challenging this assertion, however, stating that density may have little significant effect on carbon footprint.

The study's authors conclude that carbon emissions are not substantially different between the suburbs and cities of Finland, where the study took place. They focus on the communal energy consumption of multi-unit buildings, and come to the conclusion that density alone doesn't have a significant effect on energy consumption. The study also concludes that while living space makes a difference for carbon emissions, this difference "is insignificant compared to the effect of income."

Income has a significant effect on carbon footprint because the study's authors emphasize the importance of the consumption of goods. Unusually, they intentionally place the carbon footprint associated with the production of goods on consumers instead of manufacturers. This is an important move, and the study's authors concluded that higher income often came with a higher carbon footprint, given the correlation between high income and high consumption.

Providing a stateside perspective is a research report from Harvard economist Edward Glaeser and UCLA economist Matthew Kahn, entitled "The Greenness of Cities." According to the policy brief summarizing the study, cities and suburbs do not always follow identical trends for carbon footprints. They found that differences between urban and suburban homes for heating and electricity depended more on region than on density, and lower density has a larger effect on driving-related emissions.

Electricity usage is highest in places where air conditioning is widely used, like Houston, and emissions from home heating are higher in colder regions. Boston is given as an example of a place where heating emissions are much lower in the city than the suburb, but because they rely primarily on fuel oil, they have higher carbon emissions than cold cities that rely more on natural gas for heating, like Chicago. In some cases, heating emissions were greater in cities than suburbs; in some places the opposite was true.

When it comes to private transportation, on the other hand, cities always came in with much lower emissions than their surrounding suburbs, with the exception of car-centric LA, which was only slightly below its suburbs. This point is best illustrated by the maps from the Center for Neighborhood Technology, which included maps of the Twin Cities region. Focusing on driving-related carbon emissions, they found that emissions per acre were highest in the Twin Cities and lower in the suburbs. When the maps were drawn for per-household driving-related emissions, however, the colors on the map switched completely: the suburbs were shown to have much greater driving-related emissions.

It is clear, then, that there is nothing simple about being green. Low-carbon buildings, clean and renewable energy sources, energy efficiency, and diverse transportation all merit attention. Fortunately, we have a leading example of these smart policies in Minnesota. Minneapolis has been recently rated the tenth greenest city in the United States and Canada by the Siemens Green City Index. In the rating, Minneapolis was praised for transit-oriented development, land-use policies, and being one of the first American cities to "incorporate environmental sustainability into city planning." It also received merit for having the lowest electricity usage in the index, even though the city's per capita carbon emissions are higher than average, which is consistent with the findings for cold regions in the "Greenness of Cities" report.

Smart policy is multifaceted, and studies like these aid in discovering the most efficient ways to lessen our impact on the environment through policy decisions. Our past development and energy decisions have provided many environmentally damaging results, like the overwhelming reliance on cars and the unhealthy reliance on coal power. Minneapolis and St. Paul are not only implementing policies to reverse these trends, they are leading the way for smaller communities across the state to follow suit, as many have. These policies prove that progress need not come at the expense of our natural surroundings.

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Finnish study an outlier

If you're looking at new construction, I think there's more than enough information out there to reasonably conclude that multi-unit housing will generally have a smaller carbon footprint than equivalent living spaces in the dominant single-family model found in many suburbs.  That is true both because of the inherent energy-efficency of the building itself, as well as the impacts the form has on transportation.  

The Finland study is an outlier, and tries some much trickier, less direct calculations.  And it is also true as the Glaser study notes, the carbon footprint of a city will always depend on things like the mix of their electric generation and heating (coal, home heating oil, wind, etc.), the energy-efficiency of their home construction methods (well insulated, well-sealed windows and doors, energy-efficient appliances), which will make existing housing in the central cities fare worse.

But on a practical level, the question is not "which is the greenest city or subregion", but how do we make our existing cities greener.  And the dominant answer from the vast majority of the literature out there is build denser - a point we need to keep front and center.  That said, it's good to understand the nuance of the picture, and both the Finland study and Glaser results help in that discussion.  But the big picture is that new, denser multi-unit construction in the city is generally expected to be more carbon neutral than new, lower density construction common to suburban America.

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